Target Price Playground
VIAV
$41.79
๐ข
VIAV IV: 72.9% โ LOW
(-24.3% vs 30d avg of 96.4%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $47 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $42 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $6.7 ยท ฮ 0.58
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If VIAV hits $47 by Jun 19: the long call returns $-170 (-25.4%) on $670 risked, vs +$521 (12.5%) for 100 shares on $4,179. Options give 2.0ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if VIAV is at $47. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if VIAV hits $47 by Jun 19
$-170
-25.4% on $670 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$670
Premium paid
Break-even
$48.70
+16.54% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
72%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
58.44 / -4.93 / 7.08
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| VIAV Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $33 (-20%) | -$459 | -$534 | -$616 | -$670 |
| $36 (-15%) | -$384 | -$471 | -$574 | -$670 |
| $38 (-10%) | -$295 | -$393 | -$514 | -$670 |
| $40 (-5%) | -$194 | -$299 | -$433 | -$670 |
| $41 (-2%) | -$127 | -$235 | -$374 | -$670 |
| $42 (0%) โ spot | -$80 | -$189 | -$331 | -$670 |
| $43 (+2%) | -$31 | -$141 | -$284 | -$607 |
| $44 (+5%) | +$46 | -$66 | -$209 | -$482 |
| $46 (+10%) | +$182 | +$71 | -$68 | -$273 |
| $47 (+12%) โ target | +$253 | +$143 | +$7 | -$170 |
| $48 (+15%) | +$328 | +$219 | +$87 | -$64 |
| $50 (+20%) | +$483 | +$378 | +$256 | +$145 |
Uses VIAV's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.