Target Price Playground
VZ
$46.04
๐ข
VZ IV: 26.5% โ LOW
(-43.5% vs 30d avg of 46.9%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $52 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $46 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.05 ยท ฮ 0.56
SHORT CALL ยท $50 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.61 ยท ฮ 0.24
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If VZ hits $52 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$256 (178.7%) on $144 risked, vs +$596 (12.9%) for 100 shares on $4,604. Options give 13.9ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if VZ is at $52. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if VZ hits $52 by Jun 19
+$256
+178.7% on $144 risked
Max Profit
+$256
If the stock โฅ $50 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$144
Net debit
Break-even
$47.44
+3.03% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
20%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
32.07 / -0.5 / 2.35
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| VZ Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $37 (-20%) | -$142 | -$144 | -$144 | -$144 |
| $39 (-15%) | -$134 | -$140 | -$144 | -$144 |
| $41 (-10%) | -$112 | -$126 | -$140 | -$144 |
| $44 (-5%) | -$68 | -$86 | -$114 | -$144 |
| $45 (-2%) | -$31 | -$47 | -$76 | -$144 |
| $46 (0%) โ spot | -$3 | -$15 | -$39 | -$140 |
| $47 (+2%) | +$26 | +$19 | +$5 | -$48 |
| $48 (+5%) | +$71 | +$73 | +$77 | +$90 |
| $51 (+10%) | +$138 | +$152 | +$178 | +$256 |
| $52 (+13%) โ target | +$170 | +$187 | +$215 | +$256 |
| $53 (+15%) | +$189 | +$206 | +$232 | +$256 |
| $55 (+20%) | +$221 | +$235 | +$250 | +$256 |
Uses VZ's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.