Target Price Playground
VZ
$46.04
๐ข
VZ IV: 26.5% โ LOW
(-43.5% vs 30d avg of 46.9%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $52 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $46 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.05 ยท ฮ 0.56
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If VZ hits $52 by Jun 19: the long call returns +$395 (193.3%) on $205 risked, vs +$596 (12.9%) for 100 shares on $4,604. Options give 15.0ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if VZ is at $52. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if VZ hits $52 by Jun 19
+$395
+193.3% on $205 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$205
Premium paid
Break-even
$48.05
+4.36% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
20%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
55.62 / -1.65 / 7.79
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| VZ Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $37 (-20%) | -$203 | -$205 | -$205 | -$205 |
| $39 (-15%) | -$194 | -$201 | -$205 | -$205 |
| $41 (-10%) | -$166 | -$185 | -$201 | -$205 |
| $44 (-5%) | -$105 | -$138 | -$174 | -$205 |
| $45 (-2%) | -$48 | -$86 | -$132 | -$205 |
| $46 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$40 | -$89 | -$201 |
| $47 (+2%) | +$54 | +$15 | -$33 | -$109 |
| $48 (+5%) | +$149 | +$112 | +$70 | +$29 |
| $51 (+10%) | +$334 | +$305 | +$277 | +$259 |
| $52 (+13%) โ target | +$455 | +$431 | +$410 | +$395 |
| $53 (+15%) | +$543 | +$521 | +$504 | +$490 |
| $55 (+20%) | +$763 | +$747 | +$733 | +$720 |
Uses VZ's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.