Target Price Playground
WDAY
$112.50
๐ข
WDAY IV: 56.2% โ LOW
(-23.7% vs 30d avg of 73.7%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $125 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $110 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $14.0 ยท ฮ 0.58
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If WDAY hits $125 by Jun 19: the long call returns +$100 (7.1%) on $1,400 risked, vs +$1,250 (11.1%) for 100 shares on $11,250. Options give 0.6ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if WDAY is at $125. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if WDAY hits $125 by Jun 19
+$100
+7.1% on $1,400 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$1,400
Premium paid
Break-even
$124.00
+10.22% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
66%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
57.67 / -9.37 / 18.77
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| WDAY Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $90 (-20%) | -$1,083 | -$1,213 | -$1,339 | -$1,400 |
| $96 (-15%) | -$913 | -$1,075 | -$1,257 | -$1,400 |
| $101 (-10%) | -$695 | -$883 | -$1,114 | -$1,400 |
| $107 (-5%) | -$427 | -$633 | -$895 | -$1,400 |
| $110 (-2%) | -$244 | -$455 | -$726 | -$1,375 |
| $113 (0%) โ spot | -$113 | -$326 | -$598 | -$1,150 |
| $115 (+2%) | +$25 | -$188 | -$458 | -$925 |
| $118 (+5%) | +$243 | +$33 | -$227 | -$588 |
| $124 (+10%) | +$640 | +$440 | +$205 | -$25 |
| $125 (+11%) โ target | +$732 | +$536 | +$308 | +$100 |
| $129 (+15%) | +$1,069 | +$885 | +$684 | +$538 |
| $135 (+20%) | +$1,526 | +$1,361 | +$1,195 | +$1,100 |
Uses WDAY's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.