Target Price Playground
WDC
$343.43
๐ข
WDC IV: 73.8% โ LOW
(-27.8% vs 30d avg of 102.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $385 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $345 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $44.73 ยท ฮ 0.57
SHORT CALL ยท $370 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $37.99 ยท ฮ 0.49
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If WDC hits $385 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$1,826 (270.8%) on $674 risked, vs +$4,157 (12.1%) for 100 shares on $34,343. Options give 22.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if WDC is at $385. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if WDC hits $385 by Jun 19
+$1,826
+270.8% on $674 risked
Max Profit
+$1,826
If the stock โฅ $370 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$674
Net debit
Break-even
$351.74
+2.42% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
71%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
7.77 / 2.37 / -1.71
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| WDC Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $275 (-20%) | -$248 | -$337 | -$494 | -$674 |
| $292 (-15%) | -$120 | -$198 | -$357 | -$674 |
| $309 (-10%) | +$19 | -$39 | -$175 | -$674 |
| $326 (-5%) | +$165 | +$134 | +$45 | -$674 |
| $337 (-2%) | +$253 | +$241 | +$190 | -$674 |
| $343 (0%) โ spot | +$312 | +$313 | +$289 | -$674 |
| $350 (+2%) | +$371 | +$385 | +$389 | -$144 |
| $361 (+5%) | +$458 | +$492 | +$539 | +$886 |
| $378 (+10%) | +$600 | +$665 | +$780 | +$1,826 |
| $385 (+12%) โ target | +$657 | +$735 | +$876 | +$1,826 |
| $395 (+15%) | +$734 | +$827 | +$1,000 | +$1,826 |
| $412 (+20%) | +$861 | +$977 | +$1,190 | +$1,826 |
Uses WDC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.