Target Price Playground
WDC
$374.11
๐ข
WDC IV: 75.6% โ LOW
(-25.7% vs 30d avg of 101.7%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $420 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
59d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $375 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $46.36 ยท ฮ 0.57
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If WDC hits $420 by Jun 19: the long call returns $-136 (-2.9%) on $4,636 risked, vs +$4,589 (12.3%) for 100 shares on $37,411. Options give 0.2ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (59 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if WDC is at $420. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if WDC hits $420 by Jun 19
$-136
-2.9% on $4,636 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$4,636
Premium paid
Break-even
$421.36
+12.63% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
69%
IV-implied, 59d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
56.72 / -40.25 / 59.15
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| WDC Price | Today | May 10 | May 30 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $299 (-20%) | -$3,214 | -$3,753 | -$4,335 | -$4,636 |
| $318 (-15%) | -$2,610 | -$3,256 | -$4,031 | -$4,636 |
| $337 (-10%) | -$1,871 | -$2,606 | -$3,553 | -$4,636 |
| $355 (-5%) | -$1,000 | -$1,800 | -$2,872 | -$4,636 |
| $367 (-2%) | -$415 | -$1,240 | -$2,359 | -$4,636 |
| $374 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$838 | -$1,976 | -$4,636 |
| $382 (+2%) | +$434 | -$411 | -$1,558 | -$3,977 |
| $393 (+5%) | +$1,119 | +$271 | -$872 | -$2,854 |
| $412 (+10%) | +$2,348 | +$1,511 | +$416 | -$984 |
| $420 (+12%) โ target | +$2,939 | +$2,114 | +$1,054 | -$136 |
| $430 (+15%) | +$3,676 | +$2,870 | +$1,862 | +$887 |
| $449 (+20%) | +$5,091 | +$4,330 | +$3,431 | +$2,757 |
Uses WDC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.