Target Price Playground
WDC
$374.11
๐ข
WDC IV: 75.6% โ LOW
(-25.7% vs 30d avg of 101.7%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $330 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
59d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $375 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $44.53 ยท ฮ -0.43
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If WDC hits $330 by Jun 19: the long put returns +$47 (1.1%) on $4,453 risked, vs $-4,411 (-11.8%) for 100 shares on $37,411. Options give 0.1ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (59 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if WDC is at $330. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if WDC hits $330 by Jun 19
+$47
+1.1% on $4,453 risked
Max Profit
+$33,047
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$4,453
Premium paid
Break-even
$330.47
-11.67% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
70%
IV-implied, 59d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-43.28 / -35.66 / 59.15
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| WDC Price | Today | May 10 | May 30 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $299 (-20%) | +$4,268 | +$3,816 | +$3,327 | +$3,118 |
| $318 (-15%) | +$3,002 | +$2,444 | +$1,760 | +$1,248 |
| $330 (-12%) โ target | +$2,260 | +$1,642 | +$844 | +$47 |
| $337 (-10%) | +$1,870 | +$1,222 | +$367 | -$623 |
| $355 (-5%) | +$871 | +$159 | -$821 | -$2,493 |
| $367 (-2%) | +$334 | -$405 | -$1,432 | -$3,616 |
| $374 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$750 | -$1,796 | -$4,364 |
| $382 (+2%) | -$314 | -$1,072 | -$2,127 | -$4,453 |
| $393 (+5%) | -$751 | -$1,513 | -$2,564 | -$4,453 |
| $412 (+10%) | -$1,393 | -$2,142 | -$3,145 | -$4,453 |
| $430 (+15%) | -$1,935 | -$2,654 | -$3,570 | -$4,453 |
| $449 (+20%) | -$2,391 | -$3,064 | -$3,871 | -$4,453 |
Uses WDC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.