Target Price Playground
WDC
$374.11
๐ข
WDC IV: 75.6% โ LOW
(-25.7% vs 30d avg of 101.7%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $420 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy shares and hold. Unlimited upside, full downside.
๐ฏ Target
59d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $374.11 ยท ฮ 1.00
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Stock
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If WDC hits $420 by Jun 19: the long stock returns +$4,589 (12.3%) on $37,411 risked, vs $ (None%) for 100 shares on $.
๐ Expiry
Stock-only position โ no expiry. Target date is Jun 19.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if WDC hits $420 by Jun 19
+$4,589
+12.3% on $37,411 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$37,411
If stock โ $0
Break-even
$374.11
+0.0% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
69%
IV-implied, 59d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
100.0 / 0.0 / 0.0
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| WDC Price | Today | May 21 | Jun 20 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|
| $299 (-20%) | -$7,482 | -$7,482 | -$7,482 |
| $318 (-15%) | -$5,612 | -$5,612 | -$5,612 |
| $337 (-10%) | -$3,741 | -$3,741 | -$3,741 |
| $355 (-5%) | -$1,871 | -$1,871 | -$1,871 |
| $367 (-2%) | -$748 | -$748 | -$748 |
| $374 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$0 | +$0 |
| $382 (+2%) | +$748 | +$748 | +$748 |
| $393 (+5%) | +$1,871 | +$1,871 | +$1,871 |
| $412 (+10%) | +$3,741 | +$3,741 | +$3,741 |
| $420 (+12%) โ target | +$4,589 | +$4,589 | +$4,589 |
| $430 (+15%) | +$5,612 | +$5,612 | +$5,612 |
| $449 (+20%) | +$7,482 | +$7,482 | +$7,482 |
Uses WDC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.