Target Price Playground
WDC
$374.11
๐ข
WDC IV: 75.6% โ LOW
(-25.7% vs 30d avg of 101.7%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $410 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
59d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $374.11 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $355 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $34.22 ยท ฮ -0.36
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If WDC hits $410 by Jun 19: the protective put returns +$167 (0.4%) on $40,833 risked, vs +$3,589 (9.6%) for 100 shares on $37,411.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (59 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if WDC is at $410. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if WDC hits $410 by Jun 19
+$167
+0.4% on $40,833 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$5,333
Put floors you at $355
Break-even
$408.33
+9.15% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
75%
IV-implied, 59d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
63.61 / -34.37 / 56.48
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| WDC Price | Today | May 10 | May 30 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $299 (-20%) | -$3,734 | -$4,254 | -$4,883 | -$5,333 |
| $318 (-15%) | -$3,005 | -$3,615 | -$4,418 | -$5,333 |
| $337 (-10%) | -$2,135 | -$2,810 | -$3,740 | -$5,333 |
| $355 (-5%) | -$1,131 | -$1,843 | -$2,835 | -$5,293 |
| $367 (-2%) | -$467 | -$1,187 | -$2,186 | -$4,170 |
| $374 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$721 | -$1,712 | -$3,422 |
| $382 (+2%) | +$485 | -$233 | -$1,208 | -$2,674 |
| $393 (+5%) | +$1,245 | +$540 | -$397 | -$1,551 |
| $410 (+10%) โ target | +$2,479 | +$1,805 | +$952 | +$167 |
| $430 (+15%) | +$4,028 | +$3,406 | +$2,675 | +$2,190 |
| $449 (+20%) | +$5,541 | +$4,975 | +$4,363 | +$4,060 |
Uses WDC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.