Target Price Playground
WDC
$374.11
๐ข
WDC IV: 75.6% โ LOW
(-25.7% vs 30d avg of 101.7%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $330 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bearish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
59d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $375 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $44.53 ยท ฮ -0.43
SHORT PUT ยท $345 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $29.6 ยท ฮ -0.33
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bear Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If WDC hits $330 by Jun 19: the bear put spread returns +$1,507 (101.0%) on $1,493 risked, vs $-4,411 (-11.8%) for 100 shares on $37,411. Options give 8.6ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (59 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if WDC is at $330. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if WDC hits $330 by Jun 19
+$1,507
+101.0% on $1,493 risked
Max Profit
+$1,507
If the stock โค $345 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$1,493
Net debit
Break-even
$360.07
-3.75% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
70%
IV-implied, 59d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-10.33 / -2.38 / 4.72
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| WDC Price | Today | May 10 | May 30 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $299 (-20%) | +$791 | +$889 | +$1,093 | +$1,507 |
| $318 (-15%) | +$599 | +$668 | +$833 | +$1,507 |
| $330 (-12%) โ target | +$471 | +$516 | +$635 | +$1,507 |
| $337 (-10%) | +$399 | +$429 | +$517 | +$1,507 |
| $355 (-5%) | +$197 | +$184 | +$175 | +$467 |
| $367 (-2%) | +$78 | +$39 | -$30 | -$656 |
| $374 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$56 | -$164 | -$1,404 |
| $382 (+2%) | -$77 | -$149 | -$293 | -$1,493 |
| $393 (+5%) | -$188 | -$283 | -$475 | -$1,493 |
| $412 (+10%) | -$363 | -$489 | -$741 | -$1,493 |
| $430 (+15%) | -$523 | -$673 | -$956 | -$1,493 |
| $449 (+20%) | -$666 | -$831 | -$1,121 | -$1,493 |
Uses WDC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.