Target Price Playground
WDC
$374.11
๐ข
WDC IV: 75.6% โ LOW
(-25.7% vs 30d avg of 101.7%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $420 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
59d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $375 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $46.36 ยท ฮ 0.57
SHORT CALL ยท $405 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $34.56 ยท ฮ 0.47
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If WDC hits $420 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$1,821 (154.4%) on $1,179 risked, vs +$4,589 (12.3%) for 100 shares on $37,411. Options give 12.6ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (59 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if WDC is at $420. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if WDC hits $420 by Jun 19
+$1,821
+154.4% on $1,179 risked
Max Profit
+$1,821
If the stock โฅ $405 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$1,179
Net debit
Break-even
$386.79
+3.39% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
69%
IV-implied, 59d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
9.99 / 0.11 / -0.65
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| WDC Price | Today | May 10 | May 30 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $299 (-20%) | -$700 | -$807 | -$997 | -$1,180 |
| $318 (-15%) | -$543 | -$639 | -$841 | -$1,180 |
| $337 (-10%) | -$370 | -$444 | -$622 | -$1,180 |
| $355 (-5%) | -$187 | -$229 | -$349 | -$1,180 |
| $367 (-2%) | -$75 | -$95 | -$168 | -$1,180 |
| $374 (0%) โ spot | -$1 | -$4 | -$42 | -$1,180 |
| $382 (+2%) | +$74 | +$86 | +$85 | -$521 |
| $393 (+5%) | +$185 | +$221 | +$276 | +$602 |
| $412 (+10%) | +$364 | +$440 | +$583 | +$1,820 |
| $420 (+12%) โ target | +$443 | +$535 | +$713 | +$1,820 |
| $430 (+15%) | +$535 | +$645 | +$860 | +$1,820 |
| $449 (+20%) | +$694 | +$831 | +$1,097 | +$1,820 |
Uses WDC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.