Target Price Playground
WDC
$366.22
๐ข
WDC IV: 74.8% โ LOW
(-26.3% vs 30d avg of 101.6%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $320 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
65d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $365 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $45.17 ยท ฮ -0.42
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If WDC hits $320 by Jun 19: the long put returns $-17 (-0.4%) on $4,517 risked, vs $-4,622 (-12.6%) for 100 shares on $36,622.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (65 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if WDC is at $320. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if WDC hits $320 by Jun 19
$-17
-0.4% on $4,517 risked
Max Profit
+$31,983
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$4,517
Premium paid
Break-even
$319.83
-12.67% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
70%
IV-implied, 65d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-42.15 / -33.51 / 60.46
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| WDC Price | Today | May 6 | May 28 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $293 (-20%) | +$4,036 | +$3,538 | +$2,975 | +$2,685 |
| $311 (-15%) | +$2,842 | +$2,241 | +$1,490 | +$854 |
| $320 (-13%) โ target | +$2,318 | +$1,674 | +$842 | -$17 |
| $330 (-10%) | +$1,774 | +$1,088 | +$176 | -$977 |
| $348 (-5%) | +$828 | +$83 | -$944 | -$2,808 |
| $359 (-2%) | +$317 | -$452 | -$1,520 | -$3,907 |
| $366 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$780 | -$1,864 | -$4,517 |
| $374 (+2%) | -$300 | -$1,087 | -$2,178 | -$4,517 |
| $385 (+5%) | -$719 | -$1,509 | -$2,595 | -$4,517 |
| $403 (+10%) | -$1,337 | -$2,116 | -$3,156 | -$4,517 |
| $421 (+15%) | -$1,865 | -$2,616 | -$3,574 | -$4,517 |
| $439 (+20%) | -$2,313 | -$3,022 | -$3,876 | -$4,517 |
Uses WDC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.