Target Price Playground
WDC
$366.22
๐ข
WDC IV: 74.8% โ LOW
(-26.3% vs 30d avg of 101.6%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $320 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bearish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
65d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $365 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $45.17 ยท ฮ -0.42
SHORT PUT ยท $335 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $30.3 ยท ฮ -0.32
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bear Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If WDC hits $320 by Jun 19: the bear put spread returns +$1,513 (101.8%) on $1,487 risked, vs $-4,622 (-12.6%) for 100 shares on $36,622. Options give 8.1ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (65 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if WDC is at $320. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if WDC hits $320 by Jun 19
+$1,513
+101.8% on $1,487 risked
Max Profit
+$1,513
If the stock โค $335 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$1,487
Net debit
Break-even
$350.13
-4.39% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
70%
IV-implied, 65d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-9.9 / -2.35 / 5.01
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| WDC Price | Today | May 6 | May 28 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $293 (-20%) | +$751 | +$840 | +$1,035 | +$1,513 |
| $311 (-15%) | +$566 | +$625 | +$772 | +$1,513 |
| $320 (-13%) โ target | +$476 | +$517 | +$630 | +$1,513 |
| $330 (-10%) | +$375 | +$396 | +$465 | +$1,513 |
| $348 (-5%) | +$185 | +$165 | +$140 | +$222 |
| $359 (-2%) | +$73 | +$28 | -$54 | -$877 |
| $366 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$61 | -$179 | -$1,487 |
| $374 (+2%) | -$72 | -$148 | -$300 | -$1,487 |
| $385 (+5%) | -$177 | -$274 | -$470 | -$1,487 |
| $403 (+10%) | -$341 | -$469 | -$721 | -$1,487 |
| $421 (+15%) | -$492 | -$642 | -$927 | -$1,487 |
| $439 (+20%) | -$629 | -$794 | -$1,088 | -$1,487 |
Uses WDC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.