Target Price Playground
WDC
$343.43
๐ข
WDC IV: 73.8% โ LOW
(-27.8% vs 30d avg of 102.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $325 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $345 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $51.11 ยท ฮ -0.42
SHORT PUT ยท $325 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $33.08 ยท ฮ -0.36
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If WDC hits $325 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$2,025 (112.3%) on $1,803 risked, vs $-1,843 (-5.4%) for 100 shares on $34,343. Options give 20.8ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if WDC is at $325. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if WDC hits $325 by Jun 19
+$2,025
+112.3% on $1,803 risked
Max Profit
+$2,003
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$1,388
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$371.36
+8.13% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
87%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-5.6 / 4.33 / 13.29
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| WDC Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $275 (-20%) | +$251 | +$371 | +$541 | +$544 |
| $292 (-15%) | +$217 | +$356 | +$586 | +$899 |
| $309 (-10%) | +$163 | +$308 | +$572 | +$1,406 |
| $325 (-5%) โ target | +$95 | +$235 | +$499 | +$2,025 |
| $337 (-2%) | +$37 | +$168 | +$413 | +$1,410 |
| $343 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | +$122 | +$351 | +$1,081 |
| $350 (+2%) | -$40 | +$73 | +$281 | +$777 |
| $361 (+5%) | -$102 | -$6 | +$164 | +$369 |
| $378 (+10%) | -$212 | -$148 | -$52 | -$195 |
| $395 (+15%) | -$328 | -$298 | -$279 | -$632 |
| $412 (+20%) | -$445 | -$450 | -$504 | -$963 |
Uses WDC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.