Target Price Playground
WDC
$343.43
๐ข
WDC IV: 73.8% โ LOW
(-27.8% vs 30d avg of 102.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $300 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $345 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $43.46 ยท ฮ -0.43
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If WDC hits $300 by Jun 19: the long put returns +$154 (3.5%) on $4,346 risked, vs $-4,343 (-12.6%) for 100 shares on $34,343. Options give 0.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if WDC is at $300. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if WDC hits $300 by Jun 19
+$154
+3.5% on $4,346 risked
Max Profit
+$30,154
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$4,346
Premium paid
Break-even
$301.54
-12.2% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
70%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-43.12 / -30.26 / 57.82
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| WDC Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $275 (-20%) | +$3,859 | +$3,401 | +$2,919 | +$2,680 |
| $292 (-15%) | +$2,720 | +$2,162 | +$1,506 | +$962 |
| $300 (-13%) โ target | +$2,225 | +$1,625 | +$894 | +$154 |
| $309 (-10%) | +$1,699 | +$1,058 | +$250 | -$755 |
| $326 (-5%) | +$794 | +$92 | -$827 | -$2,472 |
| $337 (-2%) | +$305 | -$423 | -$1,384 | -$3,502 |
| $343 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$739 | -$1,718 | -$4,189 |
| $350 (+2%) | -$288 | -$1,035 | -$2,024 | -$4,346 |
| $361 (+5%) | -$689 | -$1,442 | -$2,431 | -$4,346 |
| $378 (+10%) | -$1,283 | -$2,029 | -$2,982 | -$4,346 |
| $395 (+15%) | -$1,791 | -$2,512 | -$3,395 | -$4,346 |
| $412 (+20%) | -$2,223 | -$2,905 | -$3,696 | -$4,346 |
Uses WDC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.