Target Price Playground
WDC
$343.43
๐ข
WDC IV: 73.8% โ LOW
(-27.8% vs 30d avg of 102.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $380 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $343.43 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $325 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $33.08 ยท ฮ -0.36
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If WDC hits $380 by Jun 19: the protective put returns +$349 (0.9%) on $37,651 risked, vs +$3,657 (10.6%) for 100 shares on $34,343. Options give 0.1ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if WDC is at $380. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if WDC hits $380 by Jun 19
+$349
+0.9% on $37,651 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$5,151
Put floors you at $325
Break-even
$376.51
+9.63% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
74%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
63.97 / -29.13 / 55.06
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| WDC Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $275 (-20%) | -$3,505 | -$4,029 | -$4,645 | -$5,151 |
| $292 (-15%) | -$2,806 | -$3,414 | -$4,180 | -$5,151 |
| $309 (-10%) | -$1,985 | -$2,652 | -$3,526 | -$5,151 |
| $326 (-5%) | -$1,047 | -$1,748 | -$2,675 | -$5,025 |
| $337 (-2%) | -$432 | -$1,140 | -$2,073 | -$3,995 |
| $343 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$710 | -$1,636 | -$3,308 |
| $350 (+2%) | +$447 | -$260 | -$1,173 | -$2,621 |
| $361 (+5%) | +$1,146 | +$449 | -$432 | -$1,591 |
| $380 (+11%) โ target | +$2,547 | +$1,885 | +$1,094 | +$349 |
| $395 (+15%) | +$3,693 | +$3,069 | +$2,363 | +$1,843 |
| $412 (+20%) | +$5,074 | +$4,501 | +$3,899 | +$3,561 |
Uses WDC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.