Target Price Playground
WDC
$343.43
๐ข
WDC IV: 73.8% โ LOW
(-27.8% vs 30d avg of 102.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $395 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $345 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $44.73 ยท ฮ 0.57
LONG PUT ยท $345 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $43.46 ยท ฮ -0.43
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If WDC hits $395 by Jun 19: the long straddle returns $-3,819 (-43.3%) on $8,819 risked, vs +$5,157 (15.0%) for 100 shares on $34,343. Options give 2.9ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if WDC is at $395. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if WDC hits $395 by Jun 19
$-3,819
-43.3% on $8,819 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$8,819
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$256.81
-25.22% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
64%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
13.76 / -64.73 / 115.65
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| WDC Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $275 (-20%) | +$848 | -$159 | -$1,218 | -$1,793 |
| $292 (-15%) | +$288 | -$921 | -$2,326 | -$3,511 |
| $309 (-10%) | -$36 | -$1,412 | -$3,120 | -$5,228 |
| $326 (-5%) | -$129 | -$1,627 | -$3,557 | -$6,945 |
| $337 (-2%) | -$77 | -$1,625 | -$3,641 | -$7,975 |
| $343 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$1,571 | -$3,623 | -$8,662 |
| $350 (+2%) | +$112 | -$1,477 | -$3,547 | -$8,289 |
| $361 (+5%) | +$338 | -$1,261 | -$3,331 | -$7,259 |
| $378 (+10%) | +$867 | -$717 | -$2,716 | -$5,542 |
| $395 (+15%) โ target | +$1,571 | +$37 | -$1,821 | -$3,819 |
| $412 (+20%) | +$2,423 | +$966 | -$709 | -$2,107 |
Uses WDC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.