Target Price Playground
WDC
$343.43
๐ข
WDC IV: 73.8% โ LOW
(-27.8% vs 30d avg of 102.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $385 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $345 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $44.73 ยท ฮ 0.57
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If WDC hits $385 by Jun 19: the long call returns $-473 (-10.6%) on $4,473 risked, vs +$4,157 (12.1%) for 100 shares on $34,343. Options give 0.9ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if WDC is at $385. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if WDC hits $385 by Jun 19
$-473
-10.6% on $4,473 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$4,473
Premium paid
Break-even
$389.73
+13.48% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
71%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
56.88 / -34.47 / 57.82
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| WDC Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $275 (-20%) | -$3,011 | -$3,561 | -$4,137 | -$4,473 |
| $292 (-15%) | -$2,432 | -$3,083 | -$3,832 | -$4,473 |
| $309 (-10%) | -$1,735 | -$2,470 | -$3,370 | -$4,473 |
| $326 (-5%) | -$923 | -$1,719 | -$2,730 | -$4,473 |
| $337 (-2%) | -$382 | -$1,203 | -$2,257 | -$4,473 |
| $343 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$832 | -$1,905 | -$4,473 |
| $350 (+2%) | +$399 | -$441 | -$1,523 | -$3,943 |
| $361 (+5%) | +$1,027 | +$182 | -$900 | -$2,913 |
| $378 (+10%) | +$2,150 | +$1,312 | +$266 | -$1,196 |
| $385 (+12%) โ target | +$2,649 | +$1,820 | +$800 | -$473 |
| $395 (+15%) | +$3,359 | +$2,546 | +$1,570 | +$521 |
| $412 (+20%) | +$4,646 | +$3,871 | +$2,987 | +$2,239 |
Uses WDC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.