Target Price Playground
WFC
$85.40
๐ข
WFC IV: 32.0% โ LOW
(-40.4% vs 30d avg of 53.6%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $75 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bearish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $85 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $4.22 ยท ฮ -0.44
SHORT PUT ยท $79 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.85 ยท ฮ -0.25
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bear Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If WFC hits $75 by Jun 19: the bear put spread returns +$363 (153.6%) on $237 risked, vs $-1,040 (-12.2%) for 100 shares on $8,540. Options give 12.6ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if WFC is at $75. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if WFC hits $75 by Jun 19
+$363
+153.6% on $237 risked
Max Profit
+$363
If the stock โค $79 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$237
Net debit
Break-even
$82.63
-3.24% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
38%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-19.84 / -0.81 / 2.82
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| WFC Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $68 (-20%) | +$301 | +$326 | +$352 | +$363 |
| $73 (-15%) | +$245 | +$273 | +$317 | +$363 |
| $75 (-12%) โ target | +$203 | +$229 | +$275 | +$363 |
| $77 (-10%) | +$168 | +$189 | +$230 | +$363 |
| $81 (-5%) | +$81 | +$85 | +$93 | +$150 |
| $84 (-2%) | +$28 | +$21 | +$6 | -$106 |
| $85 (0%) โ spot | -$5 | -$19 | -$48 | -$237 |
| $87 (+2%) | -$37 | -$56 | -$95 | -$237 |
| $90 (+5%) | -$79 | -$105 | -$150 | -$237 |
| $94 (+10%) | -$136 | -$164 | -$205 | -$237 |
| $98 (+15%) | -$177 | -$201 | -$227 | -$237 |
| $102 (+20%) | -$203 | -$221 | -$235 | -$237 |
Uses WFC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.