Target Price Playground

Templates Custom Builder
WFC
$85.40
๐ŸŸข
WFC IV: 32.0% โ€” LOW (-40.4% vs 30d avg of 53.6%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ€” good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection If price hits $90 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest Coming soon
Signal Backtest Coming soon

๐Ÿ“‹ Strategy

Long Stock Long Call Long Put Bull Call Spread Bear Put Spread Covered Call Protective Put Cash-Secured Put Diagonal Put Spread Long Straddle
Sell OTM put for premium; get assigned if price drops.

๐ŸŽฏ Target

67d from today

โš™๏ธ Legs

SHORT PUT ยท $79 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.85 ยท ฮ” -0.25
P&L at Expiry Now $85 Target $90 $60 $85 $111
Stock (100 sh) Cash-Secured Put Now Target
๐Ÿ’ก Stock vs Options at Target

If WFC hits $90 by Jun 19: the cash-secured put returns +$185 (2.4%) on $-185 credit (max loss $7,715), vs +$460 (5.4%) for 100 shares on $8,540. Options give 0.4ร— capital efficiency.

๐Ÿ“… Expiry

Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if WFC is at $90. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.

๐Ÿ“Š Projected Return

P&L if WFC hits $90 by Jun 19
+$185
+2.4% on $7,715 max loss
Max Profit
+$185
If the stock โ‰ฅ $79 at expiry
Max Loss
โˆ’$7,715
If stock โ†’ $0 after assignment
Break-even
$77.15
-9.67% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
70%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ” / ฮ˜ / V
24.53 / 2.51 / -11.51
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐Ÿ’พ Log in to save ๐Ÿ“Š My Saved Strategies

๐Ÿ“‹ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)

Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ€” ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โ‰ฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.

๐Ÿ“Š P&L Scenarios โ€” what happens at different prices and dates

WFC Price Today May 5 May 27 Jun 19 (exp)
$68 (-20%) -$905 -$884 -$870 -$883
$73 (-15%) -$583 -$536 -$484 -$456
$77 (-10%) -$324 -$260 -$175 -$29
$81 (-5%) -$132 -$64 +$26 +$185
$84 (-2%) -$46 +$18 +$97 +$185
$85 (0%) โ† spot -$0 +$59 +$128 +$185
$87 (+2%) +$38 +$92 +$150 +$185
$90 (+5%) โ† target +$87 +$131 +$170 +$185
$94 (+10%) +$131 +$161 +$181 +$185
$98 (+15%) +$158 +$176 +$184 +$185
$102 (+20%) +$172 +$182 +$185 +$185
Uses WFC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.