Target Price Playground
WFC
$85.40
๐ข
WFC IV: 32.0% โ LOW
(-40.4% vs 30d avg of 53.6%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $81 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $85 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $5.05 ยท ฮ -0.44
SHORT PUT ยท $81 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.49 ยท ฮ -0.31
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If WFC hits $81 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$265 (103.6%) on $256 risked, vs $-440 (-5.2%) for 100 shares on $8,540. Options give 19.9ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if WFC is at $81. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if WFC hits $81 by Jun 19
+$265
+103.6% on $256 risked
Max Profit
+$262
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$255
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$85.82
+0.5% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
71%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-13.4 / 0.05 / 4.29
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| WFC Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $68 (-20%) | +$113 | +$121 | +$124 | +$117 |
| $73 (-15%) | +$101 | +$117 | +$134 | +$127 |
| $77 (-10%) | +$76 | +$97 | +$129 | +$166 |
| $81 (-5%) โ target | +$37 | +$56 | +$90 | +$262 |
| $84 (-2%) | +$7 | +$21 | +$44 | +$99 |
| $85 (0%) โ spot | -$14 | -$4 | +$11 | +$15 |
| $87 (+2%) | -$35 | -$30 | -$25 | -$54 |
| $90 (+5%) | -$66 | -$69 | -$78 | -$131 |
| $94 (+10%) | -$116 | -$128 | -$152 | -$206 |
| $98 (+15%) | -$158 | -$175 | -$201 | -$239 |
| $102 (+20%) | -$190 | -$208 | -$230 | -$251 |
Uses WFC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.