Target Price Playground
WFC
$85.40
๐ข
WFC IV: 32.0% โ LOW
(-40.4% vs 30d avg of 53.6%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $75 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $85 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $4.22 ยท ฮ -0.44
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If WFC hits $75 by Jun 19: the long put returns +$578 (137.0%) on $422 risked, vs $-1,040 (-12.2%) for 100 shares on $8,540. Options give 11.2ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if WFC is at $75. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if WFC hits $75 by Jun 19
+$578
+137.0% on $422 risked
Max Profit
+$8,078
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$422
Premium paid
Break-even
$80.78
-5.41% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
38%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-44.37 / -3.32 / 14.33
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| WFC Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $68 (-20%) | +$1,206 | +$1,209 | +$1,223 | +$1,246 |
| $73 (-15%) | +$827 | +$809 | +$802 | +$819 |
| $75 (-12%) โ target | +$631 | +$600 | +$573 | +$578 |
| $77 (-10%) | +$491 | +$449 | +$405 | +$392 |
| $81 (-5%) | +$212 | +$148 | +$67 | -$35 |
| $84 (-2%) | +$75 | +$3 | -$92 | -$291 |
| $85 (0%) โ spot | -$5 | -$78 | -$177 | -$422 |
| $87 (+2%) | -$74 | -$148 | -$245 | -$422 |
| $90 (+5%) | -$162 | -$232 | -$319 | -$422 |
| $94 (+10%) | -$268 | -$325 | -$386 | -$422 |
| $98 (+15%) | -$335 | -$376 | -$412 | -$422 |
| $102 (+20%) | -$375 | -$402 | -$419 | -$422 |
Uses WFC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.