Target Price Playground
WFC
$85.40
๐ข
WFC IV: 32.0% โ LOW
(-40.4% vs 30d avg of 53.6%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $98 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $85 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $5.05 ยท ฮ 0.56
LONG PUT ยท $85 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $4.22 ยท ฮ -0.44
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If WFC hits $98 by Jun 19: the long straddle returns +$373 (40.2%) on $927 risked, vs +$1,260 (14.8%) for 100 shares on $8,540. Options give 2.7ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if WFC is at $98. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if WFC hits $98 by Jun 19
+$373
+40.2% on $927 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$927
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$94.27
+10.39% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
29%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
11.68 / -6.99 / 28.65
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| WFC Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $68 (-20%) | +$731 | +$715 | +$718 | +$741 |
| $73 (-15%) | +$400 | +$342 | +$304 | +$314 |
| $77 (-10%) | +$156 | +$47 | -$64 | -$113 |
| $81 (-5%) | +$24 | -$126 | -$312 | -$540 |
| $84 (-2%) | +$5 | -$160 | -$373 | -$796 |
| $85 (0%) โ spot | +$17 | -$152 | -$372 | -$887 |
| $87 (+2%) | +$49 | -$120 | -$338 | -$716 |
| $90 (+5%) | +$130 | -$32 | -$230 | -$460 |
| $94 (+10%) | +$345 | +$208 | +$63 | -$33 |
| $98 (+15%) โ target | +$622 | +$515 | +$419 | +$373 |
| $102 (+20%) | +$984 | +$908 | +$850 | +$821 |
Uses WFC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.