Target Price Playground
WK
$52.36
๐ก
WK IV: 59.1% โ NORMAL
(+4.6% vs 30d avg of 56.5%)
IV is near its 30-day average โ no strong edge either way.
Forward Projection
If price hits $46 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bearish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $52 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $6.43 ยท ฮ -0.42
SHORT PUT ยท $48 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $4.45 ยท ฮ -0.33
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bear Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If WK hits $46 by Jun 19: the bear put spread returns +$202 (101.7%) on $198 risked, vs $-636 (-12.1%) for 100 shares on $5,236. Options give 8.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if WK is at $46. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if WK hits $46 by Jun 19
+$202
+101.7% on $198 risked
Max Profit
+$202
If the stock โค $48 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$198
Net debit
Break-even
$50.02
-4.47% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
71%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-9.13 / -0.31 / 0.68
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| WK Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $42 (-20%) | +$99 | +$111 | +$136 | +$202 |
| $45 (-15%) | +$75 | +$83 | +$101 | +$202 |
| $46 (-12%) โ target | +$61 | +$66 | +$79 | +$202 |
| $47 (-10%) | +$50 | +$53 | +$61 | +$202 |
| $50 (-5%) | +$25 | +$22 | +$18 | +$28 |
| $51 (-2%) | +$10 | +$4 | -$7 | -$129 |
| $52 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$8 | -$23 | -$198 |
| $53 (+2%) | -$9 | -$20 | -$39 | -$198 |
| $55 (+5%) | -$23 | -$36 | -$62 | -$198 |
| $58 (+10%) | -$45 | -$62 | -$95 | -$198 |
| $60 (+15%) | -$65 | -$85 | -$122 | -$198 |
| $63 (+20%) | -$83 | -$105 | -$143 | -$198 |
Uses WK's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.