Target Price Playground
WK
$52.36
๐ก
WK IV: 59.1% โ NORMAL
(+4.6% vs 30d avg of 56.5%)
IV is near its 30-day average โ no strong edge either way.
Forward Projection
If price hits $57 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock, sell OTM call for income. Caps upside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $52.36 ยท ฮ 1.00
SHORT CALL ยท $57 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $5.25 ยท ฮ 0.47
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Covered Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If WK hits $57 by Jun 19: the covered call returns +$989 (21.0%) on $4,711 risked, vs +$464 (8.9%) for 100 shares on $5,236. Options give 2.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if WK is at $57. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if WK hits $57 by Jun 19
+$989
+21.0% on $4,711 risked
Max Profit
+$989
If the stock โฅ $57 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$4,711
If stock โ $0 (minus premium received)
Break-even
$47.11
-10.02% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
79%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
52.67 / 5.38 / -8.93
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| WK Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $42 (-20%) | -$680 | -$609 | -$545 | -$522 |
| $45 (-15%) | -$486 | -$397 | -$308 | -$260 |
| $47 (-10%) | -$308 | -$204 | -$87 | +$1 |
| $50 (-5%) | -$146 | -$28 | +$114 | +$263 |
| $51 (-2%) | -$56 | +$69 | +$223 | +$420 |
| $52 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$129 | +$291 | +$525 |
| $53 (+2%) | +$54 | +$187 | +$355 | +$630 |
| $55 (+5%) | +$131 | +$267 | +$443 | +$787 |
| $57 (+9%) โ target | +$221 | +$361 | +$542 | +$989 |
| $58 (+10%) | +$246 | +$387 | +$569 | +$989 |
| $60 (+15%) | +$347 | +$489 | +$671 | +$989 |
| $63 (+20%) | +$435 | +$576 | +$751 | +$989 |
Uses WK's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.