Target Price Playground
WK
$52.36
๐ก
WK IV: 59.1% โ NORMAL
(+4.6% vs 30d avg of 56.5%)
IV is near its 30-day average โ no strong edge either way.
Forward Projection
If price hits $50 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $52 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $7.61 ยท ฮ -0.4
SHORT PUT ยท $50 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $5.39 ยท ฮ -0.37
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If WK hits $50 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$308 (138.3%) on $222 risked, vs $-236 (-4.5%) for 100 shares on $5,236. Options give 30.7ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if WK is at $50. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if WK hits $50 by Jun 19
+$308
+138.3% on $222 risked
Max Profit
+$307
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$162
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$57.95
+10.68% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
89%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-3.28 / 0.73 / 1.87
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| WK Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $42 (-20%) | +$14 | +$30 | +$52 | +$43 |
| $45 (-15%) | +$15 | +$35 | +$67 | +$103 |
| $47 (-10%) | +$13 | +$35 | +$74 | +$186 |
| $50 (-5%) โ target | +$7 | +$29 | +$70 | +$308 |
| $51 (-2%) | +$4 | +$25 | +$65 | +$242 |
| $52 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$21 | +$59 | +$194 |
| $53 (+2%) | -$3 | +$16 | +$52 | +$150 |
| $55 (+5%) | -$9 | +$8 | +$39 | +$91 |
| $58 (+10%) | -$20 | -$7 | +$15 | +$10 |
| $60 (+15%) | -$33 | -$24 | -$13 | -$53 |
| $63 (+20%) | -$46 | -$41 | -$41 | -$101 |
Uses WK's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.