Target Price Playground
WK
$52.36
๐ก
WK IV: 59.1% โ NORMAL
(+4.6% vs 30d avg of 56.5%)
IV is near its 30-day average โ no strong edge either way.
Forward Projection
If price hits $59 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy shares and hold. Unlimited upside, full downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $52.36 ยท ฮ 1.00
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Stock
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If WK hits $59 by Jun 19: the long stock returns +$664 (12.7%) on $5,236 risked, vs $ (None%) for 100 shares on $.
๐ Expiry
Stock-only position โ no expiry. Target date is Jun 19.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if WK hits $59 by Jun 19
+$664
+12.7% on $5,236 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$5,236
If stock โ $0
Break-even
$52.36
+0.0% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
70%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
100.0 / 0.0 / 0.0
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| WK Price | Today | May 13 | Jun 12 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|
| $42 (-20%) | -$1,047 | -$1,047 | -$1,047 |
| $45 (-15%) | -$785 | -$785 | -$785 |
| $47 (-10%) | -$524 | -$524 | -$524 |
| $50 (-5%) | -$262 | -$262 | -$262 |
| $51 (-2%) | -$105 | -$105 | -$105 |
| $52 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$0 | +$0 |
| $53 (+2%) | +$105 | +$105 | +$105 |
| $55 (+5%) | +$262 | +$262 | +$262 |
| $58 (+10%) | +$524 | +$524 | +$524 |
| $59 (+13%) โ target | +$664 | +$664 | +$664 |
| $60 (+15%) | +$785 | +$785 | +$785 |
| $63 (+20%) | +$1,047 | +$1,047 | +$1,047 |
Uses WK's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.