Target Price Playground
WK
$52.36
๐ก
WK IV: 59.1% โ NORMAL
(+4.6% vs 30d avg of 56.5%)
IV is near its 30-day average โ no strong edge either way.
Forward Projection
If price hits $58 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $52.36 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $50 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $5.39 ยท ฮ -0.37
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If WK hits $58 by Jun 19: the protective put returns +$25 (0.4%) on $5,775 risked, vs +$564 (10.8%) for 100 shares on $5,236.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if WK is at $58. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if WK hits $58 by Jun 19
+$25
+0.4% on $5,775 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$775
Put floors you at $50
Break-even
$57.75
+10.29% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
74%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
62.92 / -4.57 / 8.48
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| WK Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $42 (-20%) | -$525 | -$606 | -$701 | -$775 |
| $45 (-15%) | -$421 | -$515 | -$632 | -$775 |
| $47 (-10%) | -$298 | -$401 | -$537 | -$775 |
| $50 (-5%) | -$157 | -$266 | -$411 | -$775 |
| $51 (-2%) | -$65 | -$176 | -$322 | -$644 |
| $52 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$111 | -$258 | -$539 |
| $53 (+2%) | +$67 | -$44 | -$189 | -$434 |
| $55 (+5%) | +$172 | +$62 | -$79 | -$277 |
| $58 (+11%) โ target | +$387 | +$282 | +$154 | +$25 |
| $60 (+15%) | +$554 | +$454 | +$338 | +$246 |
| $63 (+20%) | +$762 | +$669 | +$569 | +$508 |
Uses WK's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.