Target Price Playground
WK
$52.36
๐ก
WK IV: 59.1% โ NORMAL
(+4.6% vs 30d avg of 56.5%)
IV is near its 30-day average โ no strong edge either way.
Forward Projection
If price hits $60 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $52 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $7.22 ยท ฮ 0.58
LONG PUT ยท $52 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $6.43 ยท ฮ -0.42
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If WK hits $60 by Jun 19: the long straddle returns $-565 (-41.4%) on $1,365 risked, vs +$764 (14.6%) for 100 shares on $5,236. Options give 2.8ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if WK is at $60. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if WK hits $60 by Jun 19
$-565
-41.4% on $1,365 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$1,365
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$65.65
+25.38% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
66%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
16.71 / -10.01 / 17.5
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| WK Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $42 (-20%) | +$93 | -$70 | -$246 | -$354 |
| $45 (-15%) | +$17 | -$175 | -$404 | -$616 |
| $47 (-10%) | -$23 | -$239 | -$511 | -$877 |
| $50 (-5%) | -$28 | -$262 | -$564 | -$1,139 |
| $51 (-2%) | -$15 | -$255 | -$569 | -$1,296 |
| $52 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$243 | -$561 | -$1,329 |
| $53 (+2%) | +$20 | -$225 | -$544 | -$1,224 |
| $55 (+5%) | +$58 | -$187 | -$504 | -$1,067 |
| $58 (+10%) | +$146 | -$97 | -$400 | -$805 |
| $60 (+15%) โ target | +$248 | +$13 | -$270 | -$565 |
| $63 (+20%) | +$393 | +$171 | -$81 | -$282 |
Uses WK's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.