Target Price Playground
WULF
$18.87
๐ข
WULF IV: 88.6% โ LOW
(-31.6% vs 30d avg of 129.5%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $17 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bearish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $19 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.94 ยท ฮ -0.41
SHORT PUT ยท $18 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.16 ยท ฮ -0.34
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bear Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If WULF hits $17 by Jun 19: the bear put spread returns +$72 (93.4%) on $78 risked, vs $-237 (-12.6%) for 100 shares on $1,887. Options give 7.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if WULF is at $17. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if WULF hits $17 by Jun 19
+$72
+93.4% on $78 risked
Max Profit
+$72
If the stock โค $18 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$78
Net debit
Break-even
$18.22
-3.42% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
75%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-6.48 / -0.23 / 0.24
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| WULF Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $15 (-20%) | +$33 | +$36 | +$44 | +$72 |
| $16 (-15%) | +$25 | +$27 | +$33 | +$72 |
| $17 (-13%) โ target | +$21 | +$23 | +$27 | +$72 |
| $17 (-10%) | +$17 | +$18 | +$21 | +$72 |
| $18 (-5%) | +$9 | +$8 | +$7 | +$29 |
| $18 (-2%) | +$5 | +$3 | -$0 | -$27 |
| $19 (0%) โ spot | +$2 | -$1 | -$6 | -$65 |
| $19 (+2%) | -$1 | -$4 | -$11 | -$78 |
| $20 (+5%) | -$5 | -$10 | -$18 | -$78 |
| $21 (+10%) | -$12 | -$18 | -$29 | -$78 |
| $22 (+15%) | -$19 | -$26 | -$39 | -$78 |
| $23 (+20%) | -$25 | -$33 | -$47 | -$78 |
Uses WULF's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.