Target Price Playground
WULF
$18.87
๐ข
WULF IV: 88.6% โ LOW
(-31.6% vs 30d avg of 129.5%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $21 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock, sell OTM call for income. Caps upside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $18.87 ยท ฮ 1.00
SHORT CALL ยท $21 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.42 ยท ฮ 0.5
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Covered Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If WULF hits $21 by Jun 19: the covered call returns +$405 (24.6%) on $1,645 risked, vs +$163 (8.6%) for 100 shares on $1,887. Options give 2.9ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if WULF is at $21. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if WULF hits $21 by Jun 19
+$405
+24.6% on $1,645 risked
Max Profit
+$405
If the stock โฅ $20 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$1,645
If stock โ $0 (minus premium received)
Break-even
$16.45
-12.81% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
83%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
49.52 / 2.33 / -3.23
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| WULF Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $15 (-20%) | -$226 | -$190 | -$154 | -$135 |
| $16 (-15%) | -$162 | -$120 | -$74 | -$41 |
| $17 (-10%) | -$103 | -$56 | +$0 | +$53 |
| $18 (-5%) | -$49 | +$4 | +$68 | +$148 |
| $18 (-2%) | -$19 | +$36 | +$104 | +$204 |
| $19 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$56 | +$127 | +$242 |
| $19 (+2%) | +$19 | +$76 | +$149 | +$280 |
| $20 (+5%) | +$45 | +$103 | +$179 | +$336 |
| $21 (+9%) โ target | +$74 | +$134 | +$212 | +$405 |
| $21 (+10%) | +$85 | +$145 | +$223 | +$405 |
| $22 (+15%) | +$120 | +$182 | +$260 | +$405 |
| $23 (+20%) | +$152 | +$213 | +$290 | +$405 |
Uses WULF's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.