Target Price Playground
WULF
$18.87
๐ข
WULF IV: 88.6% โ LOW
(-31.6% vs 30d avg of 129.5%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $18 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $19 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.6 ยท ฮ -0.39
SHORT PUT ยท $18 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.47 ยท ฮ -0.36
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If WULF hits $18 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$124 (109.9%) on $113 risked, vs $-87 (-4.6%) for 100 shares on $1,887. Options give 23.9ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if WULF is at $18. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if WULF hits $18 by Jun 19
+$124
+109.9% on $113 risked
Max Profit
+$123
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$69
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$21.07
+11.67% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
91%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-3.89 / 0.31 / 0.67
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| WULF Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $15 (-20%) | +$1 | +$9 | +$21 | +$26 |
| $16 (-15%) | +$0 | +$9 | +$24 | +$51 |
| $17 (-10%) | -$1 | +$8 | +$25 | +$83 |
| $18 (-5%) โ target | -$4 | +$6 | +$23 | +$127 |
| $18 (-2%) | -$5 | +$4 | +$21 | +$102 |
| $19 (0%) โ spot | -$6 | +$2 | +$19 | +$84 |
| $19 (+2%) | -$8 | +$1 | +$17 | +$67 |
| $20 (+5%) | -$10 | -$2 | +$12 | +$45 |
| $21 (+10%) | -$14 | -$7 | +$4 | +$12 |
| $22 (+15%) | -$18 | -$13 | -$6 | -$15 |
| $23 (+20%) | -$23 | -$20 | -$16 | -$36 |
Uses WULF's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.