Target Price Playground
WULF
$18.87
๐ข
WULF IV: 88.6% โ LOW
(-31.6% vs 30d avg of 129.5%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $21 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $19 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.35 ยท ฮ 0.6
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If WULF hits $21 by Jun 19: the long call returns $-135 (-40.3%) on $335 risked, vs +$213 (11.3%) for 100 shares on $1,887. Options give 3.6ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if WULF is at $21. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if WULF hits $21 by Jun 19
$-135
-40.3% on $335 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$335
Premium paid
Break-even
$22.35
+18.44% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
78%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
59.74 / -2.41 / 3.2
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| WULF Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $15 (-20%) | -$215 | -$255 | -$300 | -$335 |
| $16 (-15%) | -$178 | -$224 | -$278 | -$335 |
| $17 (-10%) | -$136 | -$186 | -$248 | -$335 |
| $18 (-5%) | -$88 | -$141 | -$210 | -$335 |
| $18 (-2%) | -$58 | -$112 | -$183 | -$335 |
| $19 (0%) โ spot | -$36 | -$91 | -$163 | -$335 |
| $19 (+2%) | -$14 | -$70 | -$142 | -$310 |
| $20 (+5%) | +$21 | -$36 | -$109 | -$254 |
| $21 (+10%) | +$83 | +$26 | -$46 | -$159 |
| $21 (+11%) โ target | +$99 | +$42 | -$29 | -$135 |
| $22 (+15%) | +$147 | +$91 | +$22 | -$65 |
| $23 (+20%) | +$216 | +$161 | +$96 | +$29 |
Uses WULF's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.