Target Price Playground
WULF
$18.87
๐ข
WULF IV: 88.6% โ LOW
(-31.6% vs 30d avg of 129.5%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $17 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $19 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.94 ยท ฮ -0.41
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If WULF hits $17 by Jun 19: the long put returns $-44 (-15.0%) on $294 risked, vs $-237 (-12.6%) for 100 shares on $1,887. Options give 1.2ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if WULF is at $17. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if WULF hits $17 by Jun 19
$-44
-15.0% on $294 risked
Max Profit
+$1,606
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$294
Premium paid
Break-even
$16.06
-14.89% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
75%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-40.61 / -2.19 / 3.21
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| WULF Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $15 (-20%) | +$201 | +$165 | +$125 | +$96 |
| $16 (-15%) | +$143 | +$103 | +$53 | +$2 |
| $17 (-13%) โ target | +$117 | +$75 | +$21 | -$44 |
| $17 (-10%) | +$91 | +$47 | -$11 | -$92 |
| $18 (-5%) | +$44 | -$4 | -$67 | -$187 |
| $18 (-2%) | +$19 | -$31 | -$96 | -$243 |
| $19 (0%) โ spot | +$2 | -$48 | -$115 | -$281 |
| $19 (+2%) | -$13 | -$64 | -$131 | -$294 |
| $20 (+5%) | -$35 | -$86 | -$154 | -$294 |
| $21 (+10%) | -$68 | -$120 | -$186 | -$294 |
| $22 (+15%) | -$97 | -$148 | -$212 | -$294 |
| $23 (+20%) | -$123 | -$172 | -$232 | -$294 |
Uses WULF's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.