Target Price Playground
WULF
$18.87
๐ข
WULF IV: 88.6% โ LOW
(-31.6% vs 30d avg of 129.5%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $21 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $18.87 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $18 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.47 ยท ฮ -0.36
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If WULF hits $21 by Jun 19: the protective put returns $-34 (-1.6%) on $2,134 risked, vs +$213 (11.3%) for 100 shares on $1,887. Options give 0.1ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if WULF is at $21. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if WULF hits $21 by Jun 19
$-34
-1.6% on $2,134 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$334
Put floors you at $18
Break-even
$21.34
+13.09% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
78%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
64.45 / -2.05 / 3.11
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| WULF Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $15 (-20%) | -$204 | -$242 | -$288 | -$334 |
| $16 (-15%) | -$162 | -$205 | -$259 | -$334 |
| $17 (-10%) | -$115 | -$161 | -$221 | -$334 |
| $18 (-5%) | -$62 | -$110 | -$173 | -$334 |
| $18 (-2%) | -$29 | -$77 | -$141 | -$285 |
| $19 (0%) โ spot | -$5 | -$54 | -$118 | -$247 |
| $19 (+2%) | +$19 | -$30 | -$94 | -$209 |
| $20 (+5%) | +$56 | +$8 | -$55 | -$153 |
| $21 (+10%) | +$123 | +$75 | +$15 | -$58 |
| $21 (+11%) โ target | +$140 | +$92 | +$34 | -$34 |
| $22 (+15%) | +$192 | +$146 | +$90 | +$36 |
| $23 (+20%) | +$264 | +$220 | +$169 | +$130 |
Uses WULF's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.