Target Price Playground
WULF
$18.87
๐ข
WULF IV: 88.6% โ LOW
(-31.6% vs 30d avg of 129.5%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $22 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $19 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.35 ยท ฮ 0.6
LONG PUT ยท $19 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.94 ยท ฮ -0.41
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If WULF hits $22 by Jun 19: the long straddle returns $-379 (-60.3%) on $629 risked, vs +$263 (13.9%) for 100 shares on $1,887. Options give 4.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if WULF is at $22. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if WULF hits $22 by Jun 19
$-379
-60.3% on $629 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$629
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$12.71
-32.64% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
73%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
19.13 / -4.59 / 6.41
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| WULF Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $15 (-20%) | -$14 | -$90 | -$175 | -$239 |
| $16 (-15%) | -$35 | -$121 | -$225 | -$333 |
| $17 (-10%) | -$44 | -$139 | -$259 | -$427 |
| $18 (-5%) | -$44 | -$145 | -$277 | -$522 |
| $18 (-2%) | -$39 | -$143 | -$279 | -$578 |
| $19 (0%) โ spot | -$34 | -$139 | -$278 | -$616 |
| $19 (+2%) | -$27 | -$134 | -$273 | -$604 |
| $20 (+5%) | -$14 | -$122 | -$262 | -$548 |
| $21 (+10%) | +$14 | -$94 | -$232 | -$453 |
| $22 (+14%) โ target | +$42 | -$65 | -$200 | -$379 |
| $22 (+15%) | +$50 | -$57 | -$190 | -$359 |
| $23 (+20%) | +$93 | -$11 | -$136 | -$265 |
Uses WULF's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.