Target Price Playground
YOU
$47.92
๐ข
YOU IV: 60.5% โ LOW
(-18.7% vs 30d avg of 74.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $42 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bearish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $48 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $4.83 ยท ฮ -0.44
SHORT PUT ยท $44 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.94 ยท ฮ -0.31
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bear Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If YOU hits $42 by Jun 19: the bear put spread returns +$211 (111.2%) on $189 risked, vs $-592 (-12.4%) for 100 shares on $4,792. Options give 9.0ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if YOU is at $42. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if YOU hits $42 by Jun 19
+$211
+111.2% on $189 risked
Max Profit
+$211
If the stock โค $44 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$189
Net debit
Break-even
$46.11
-3.78% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
64%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-12.5 / -0.28 / 0.82
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| YOU Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $38 (-20%) | +$122 | +$138 | +$166 | +$211 |
| $41 (-15%) | +$93 | +$105 | +$129 | +$211 |
| $42 (-12%) โ target | +$77 | +$86 | +$106 | +$211 |
| $43 (-10%) | +$63 | +$68 | +$82 | +$211 |
| $46 (-5%) | +$31 | +$30 | +$30 | +$59 |
| $47 (-2%) | +$13 | +$7 | -$2 | -$85 |
| $48 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$7 | -$22 | -$181 |
| $49 (+2%) | -$11 | -$22 | -$42 | -$189 |
| $50 (+5%) | -$29 | -$42 | -$69 | -$189 |
| $53 (+10%) | -$55 | -$73 | -$107 | -$189 |
| $55 (+15%) | -$78 | -$99 | -$135 | -$189 |
| $58 (+20%) | -$99 | -$121 | -$155 | -$189 |
Uses YOU's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.