Target Price Playground
YOU
$47.92
๐ข
YOU IV: 60.5% โ LOW
(-18.7% vs 30d avg of 74.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $54 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $48 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $5.15 ยท ฮ 0.56
SHORT CALL ยท $52 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.57 ยท ฮ 0.44
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If YOU hits $54 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$242 (153.6%) on $158 risked, vs +$608 (12.7%) for 100 shares on $4,792. Options give 12.1ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if YOU is at $54. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if YOU hits $54 by Jun 19
+$242
+153.6% on $158 risked
Max Profit
+$242
If the stock โฅ $52 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$158
Net debit
Break-even
$49.58
+3.46% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
63%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
12.11 / -0.05 / -0.01
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| YOU Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $38 (-20%) | -$105 | -$120 | -$142 | -$158 |
| $41 (-15%) | -$82 | -$98 | -$124 | -$158 |
| $43 (-10%) | -$57 | -$69 | -$95 | -$158 |
| $46 (-5%) | -$29 | -$37 | -$56 | -$158 |
| $47 (-2%) | -$12 | -$17 | -$29 | -$158 |
| $48 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$2 | -$10 | -$158 |
| $49 (+2%) | +$11 | +$12 | +$10 | -$70 |
| $50 (+5%) | +$29 | +$33 | +$39 | +$74 |
| $53 (+10%) | +$56 | +$67 | +$86 | +$242 |
| $54 (+13%) โ target | +$71 | +$84 | +$109 | +$242 |
| $55 (+15%) | +$83 | +$98 | +$127 | +$242 |
| $58 (+20%) | +$107 | +$126 | +$161 | +$242 |
Uses YOU's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.