Target Price Playground
YOU
$47.92
๐ข
YOU IV: 60.5% โ LOW
(-18.7% vs 30d avg of 74.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $52 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock, sell OTM call for income. Caps upside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $47.92 ยท ฮ 1.00
SHORT CALL ยท $52 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.57 ยท ฮ 0.44
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Covered Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If YOU hits $52 by Jun 19: the covered call returns +$765 (17.3%) on $4,435 risked, vs +$408 (8.5%) for 100 shares on $4,792. Options give 2.0ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if YOU is at $52. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if YOU hits $52 by Jun 19
+$765
+17.3% on $4,435 risked
Max Profit
+$765
If the stock โฅ $52 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$4,435
If stock โ $0 (minus premium received)
Break-even
$44.35
-7.45% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
75%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
55.9 / 3.92 / -8.1
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| YOU Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $38 (-20%) | -$676 | -$637 | -$607 | -$601 |
| $41 (-15%) | -$482 | -$428 | -$380 | -$362 |
| $43 (-10%) | -$304 | -$235 | -$163 | -$122 |
| $46 (-5%) | -$143 | -$61 | +$34 | +$117 |
| $47 (-2%) | -$55 | +$34 | +$142 | +$261 |
| $48 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | +$93 | +$209 | +$357 |
| $49 (+2%) | +$52 | +$149 | +$270 | +$453 |
| $50 (+5%) | +$125 | +$226 | +$354 | +$597 |
| $52 (+9%) โ target | +$202 | +$306 | +$439 | +$765 |
| $53 (+10%) | +$233 | +$337 | +$471 | +$765 |
| $55 (+15%) | +$324 | +$429 | +$560 | +$765 |
| $58 (+20%) | +$401 | +$502 | +$625 | +$765 |
Uses YOU's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.