Target Price Playground
YOU
$47.92
๐ข
YOU IV: 60.5% โ LOW
(-18.7% vs 30d avg of 74.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $46 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $48 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $5.69 ยท ฮ -0.43
SHORT PUT ยท $46 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.82 ยท ฮ -0.38
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If YOU hits $46 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$231 (123.7%) on $187 risked, vs $-192 (-4.0%) for 100 shares on $4,792. Options give 30.9ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if YOU is at $46. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if YOU hits $46 by Jun 19
+$231
+123.7% on $187 risked
Max Profit
+$224
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$163
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$51.41
+7.29% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
88%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-5.02 / 0.52 / 1.8
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| YOU Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $38 (-20%) | +$24 | +$35 | +$46 | +$29 |
| $41 (-15%) | +$23 | +$37 | +$59 | +$65 |
| $43 (-10%) | +$18 | +$35 | +$63 | +$124 |
| $46 (-5%) | +$10 | +$27 | +$58 | +$210 |
| $46 (-4%) โ target | +$8 | +$25 | +$55 | +$230 |
| $47 (-2%) | +$4 | +$20 | +$49 | +$179 |
| $48 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | +$14 | +$42 | +$133 |
| $49 (+2%) | -$5 | +$8 | +$32 | +$90 |
| $50 (+5%) | -$13 | -$2 | +$17 | +$35 |
| $53 (+10%) | -$28 | -$21 | -$12 | -$37 |
| $55 (+15%) | -$43 | -$41 | -$43 | -$89 |
| $58 (+20%) | -$59 | -$62 | -$72 | -$124 |
Uses YOU's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.