Target Price Playground
YOU
$47.92
๐ข
YOU IV: 60.5% โ LOW
(-18.7% vs 30d avg of 74.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $42 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $48 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $4.83 ยท ฮ -0.44
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If YOU hits $42 by Jun 19: the long put returns +$117 (24.1%) on $483 risked, vs $-592 (-12.4%) for 100 shares on $4,792. Options give 1.9ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if YOU is at $42. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if YOU hits $42 by Jun 19
+$117
+24.1% on $483 risked
Max Profit
+$4,317
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$483
Premium paid
Break-even
$43.17
-9.92% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
64%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-43.79 / -3.38 / 8.09
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| YOU Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $38 (-20%) | +$572 | +$530 | +$491 | +$483 |
| $41 (-15%) | +$401 | +$344 | +$282 | +$244 |
| $42 (-12%) โ target | +$317 | +$254 | +$179 | +$117 |
| $43 (-10%) | +$248 | +$179 | +$94 | +$4 |
| $46 (-5%) | +$115 | +$37 | -$64 | -$235 |
| $47 (-2%) | +$44 | -$37 | -$145 | -$379 |
| $48 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$82 | -$192 | -$475 |
| $49 (+2%) | -$40 | -$124 | -$234 | -$483 |
| $50 (+5%) | -$96 | -$180 | -$289 | -$483 |
| $53 (+10%) | -$176 | -$257 | -$358 | -$483 |
| $55 (+15%) | -$241 | -$317 | -$406 | -$483 |
| $58 (+20%) | -$294 | -$363 | -$437 | -$483 |
Uses YOU's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.