Target Price Playground
YOU
$47.92
๐ข
YOU IV: 60.5% โ LOW
(-18.7% vs 30d avg of 74.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $54 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy shares and hold. Unlimited upside, full downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $47.92 ยท ฮ 1.00
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Stock
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If YOU hits $54 by Jun 19: the long stock returns +$608 (12.7%) on $4,792 risked, vs $ (None%) for 100 shares on $.
๐ Expiry
Stock-only position โ no expiry. Target date is Jun 19.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if YOU hits $54 by Jun 19
+$608
+12.7% on $4,792 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$4,792
If stock โ $0
Break-even
$47.92
+0.0% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
63%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
100.0 / 0.0 / 0.0
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| YOU Price | Today | May 13 | Jun 12 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|
| $38 (-20%) | -$958 | -$958 | -$958 |
| $41 (-15%) | -$719 | -$719 | -$719 |
| $43 (-10%) | -$479 | -$479 | -$479 |
| $46 (-5%) | -$240 | -$240 | -$240 |
| $47 (-2%) | -$96 | -$96 | -$96 |
| $48 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$0 | +$0 |
| $49 (+2%) | +$96 | +$96 | +$96 |
| $50 (+5%) | +$240 | +$240 | +$240 |
| $53 (+10%) | +$479 | +$479 | +$479 |
| $54 (+13%) โ target | +$608 | +$608 | +$608 |
| $55 (+15%) | +$719 | +$719 | +$719 |
| $58 (+20%) | +$958 | +$958 | +$958 |
Uses YOU's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.