Target Price Playground
YOU
$47.92
๐ข
YOU IV: 60.5% โ LOW
(-18.7% vs 30d avg of 74.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $53 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $47.92 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $46 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.82 ยท ฮ -0.38
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If YOU hits $53 by Jun 19: the protective put returns +$126 (2.4%) on $5,174 risked, vs +$508 (10.6%) for 100 shares on $4,792. Options give 0.2ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if YOU is at $53. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if YOU hits $53 by Jun 19
+$126
+2.4% on $5,174 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$574
Put floors you at $46
Break-even
$51.74
+7.97% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
69%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
62.49 / -3.29 / 7.79
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| YOU Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $38 (-20%) | -$445 | -$495 | -$548 | -$574 |
| $41 (-15%) | -$364 | -$427 | -$503 | -$574 |
| $43 (-10%) | -$262 | -$335 | -$430 | -$574 |
| $46 (-5%) | -$141 | -$220 | -$324 | -$574 |
| $47 (-2%) | -$58 | -$139 | -$245 | -$478 |
| $48 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$80 | -$185 | -$382 |
| $49 (+2%) | +$61 | -$18 | -$122 | -$286 |
| $50 (+5%) | +$158 | +$80 | -$18 | -$142 |
| $53 (+11%) โ target | +$353 | +$281 | +$197 | +$126 |
| $55 (+15%) | +$518 | +$452 | +$381 | +$337 |
| $58 (+20%) | +$715 | +$657 | +$601 | +$576 |
Uses YOU's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.