Target Price Playground
YOU
$47.92
๐ข
YOU IV: 60.5% โ LOW
(-18.7% vs 30d avg of 74.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $55 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $48 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $5.15 ยท ฮ 0.56
LONG PUT ยท $48 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $4.83 ยท ฮ -0.44
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If YOU hits $55 by Jun 19: the long straddle returns $-298 (-29.9%) on $998 risked, vs +$708 (14.8%) for 100 shares on $4,792. Options give 2.0ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if YOU is at $55. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if YOU hits $55 by Jun 19
$-298
-29.9% on $998 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$998
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$38.02
-20.66% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
57%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
12.43 / -7.35 / 16.18
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| YOU Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $38 (-20%) | +$186 | +$89 | -$2 | -$32 |
| $41 (-15%) | +$82 | -$44 | -$182 | -$271 |
| $43 (-10%) | +$16 | -$135 | -$317 | -$511 |
| $46 (-5%) | -$11 | -$180 | -$395 | -$750 |
| $47 (-2%) | -$9 | -$184 | -$412 | -$894 |
| $48 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$178 | -$411 | -$990 |
| $49 (+2%) | +$15 | -$165 | -$399 | -$910 |
| $50 (+5%) | +$47 | -$133 | -$364 | -$766 |
| $53 (+10%) | +$127 | -$48 | -$264 | -$527 |
| $55 (+15%) โ target | +$231 | +$65 | -$127 | -$298 |
| $58 (+20%) | +$370 | +$219 | +$57 | -$48 |
Uses YOU's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.