Target Price Playground
YOU
$46.17
๐ข
YOU IV: 58.5% โ LOW
(-20.2% vs 30d avg of 73.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $41 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $46 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $4.57 ยท ฮ -0.43
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If YOU hits $41 by Jun 19: the long put returns +$43 (9.5%) on $457 risked, vs $-517 (-11.2%) for 100 shares on $4,617. Options give 0.8ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if YOU is at $41. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if YOU hits $41 by Jun 19
+$43
+9.5% on $457 risked
Max Profit
+$4,143
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$457
Premium paid
Break-even
$41.43
-10.26% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
67%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-42.95 / -3.28 / 7.77
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| YOU Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $37 (-20%) | +$542 | +$500 | +$460 | +$449 |
| $39 (-15%) | +$379 | +$323 | +$260 | +$219 |
| $41 (-11%) โ target | +$267 | +$202 | +$122 | +$43 |
| $42 (-10%) | +$234 | +$166 | +$82 | -$12 |
| $44 (-5%) | +$108 | +$32 | -$68 | -$243 |
| $45 (-2%) | +$41 | -$38 | -$143 | -$382 |
| $46 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$81 | -$187 | -$457 |
| $47 (+2%) | -$38 | -$119 | -$226 | -$457 |
| $48 (+5%) | -$91 | -$172 | -$277 | -$457 |
| $51 (+10%) | -$167 | -$245 | -$342 | -$457 |
| $53 (+15%) | -$228 | -$301 | -$386 | -$457 |
| $55 (+20%) | -$278 | -$344 | -$415 | -$457 |
Uses YOU's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.