Target Price Playground
ZETA
$14.61
๐ข
ZETA IV: 74.0% โ LOW
(-35.4% vs 30d avg of 114.6%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $17 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $15 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.96 ยท ฮ 0.58
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If ZETA hits $17 by Jun 19: the long call returns +$4 (2.2%) on $196 risked, vs +$189 (12.9%) for 100 shares on $1,461. Options give 0.2ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if ZETA is at $17. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if ZETA hits $17 by Jun 19
+$4
+2.2% on $196 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$196
Premium paid
Break-even
$16.46
+12.64% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
69%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
58.29 / -1.44 / 2.44
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| ZETA Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $12 (-20%) | -$132 | -$155 | -$180 | -$196 |
| $12 (-15%) | -$107 | -$134 | -$167 | -$196 |
| $13 (-10%) | -$76 | -$107 | -$146 | -$196 |
| $14 (-5%) | -$41 | -$74 | -$117 | -$196 |
| $14 (-2%) | -$17 | -$51 | -$96 | -$196 |
| $15 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$35 | -$80 | -$185 |
| $15 (+2%) | +$17 | -$18 | -$63 | -$156 |
| $15 (+5%) | +$44 | +$9 | -$35 | -$112 |
| $16 (+10%) | +$93 | +$59 | +$16 | -$39 |
| $17 (+13%) โ target | +$124 | +$90 | +$49 | +$4 |
| $17 (+15%) | +$146 | +$112 | +$73 | +$34 |
| $18 (+20%) | +$201 | +$170 | +$135 | +$107 |
Uses ZETA's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.