Target Price Playground
ZM
$79.24
๐ข
ZM IV: 41.3% โ LOW
(-34.6% vs 30d avg of 63.0%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $89 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $79 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $6.4 ยท ฮ 0.56
SHORT CALL ยท $86 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.64 ยท ฮ 0.38
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If ZM hits $89 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$424 (153.8%) on $276 risked, vs +$976 (12.3%) for 100 shares on $7,924. Options give 12.5ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if ZM is at $89. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if ZM hits $89 by Jun 19
+$424
+153.8% on $276 risked
Max Profit
+$424
If the stock โฅ $86 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$276
Net debit
Break-even
$81.76
+3.18% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
52%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
17.7 / -0.28 / 0.41
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| ZM Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $63 (-20%) | -$223 | -$246 | -$269 | -$276 |
| $67 (-15%) | -$184 | -$212 | -$252 | -$276 |
| $71 (-10%) | -$131 | -$160 | -$209 | -$276 |
| $75 (-5%) | -$69 | -$90 | -$135 | -$276 |
| $78 (-2%) | -$28 | -$42 | -$75 | -$276 |
| $79 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$9 | -$31 | -$252 |
| $81 (+2%) | +$28 | +$25 | +$16 | -$94 |
| $83 (+5%) | +$70 | +$76 | +$86 | +$144 |
| $87 (+10%) | +$137 | +$157 | +$196 | +$424 |
| $89 (+12%) โ target | +$166 | +$191 | +$240 | +$424 |
| $91 (+15%) | +$197 | +$228 | +$284 | +$424 |
| $95 (+20%) | +$249 | +$285 | +$345 | +$424 |
Uses ZM's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.