Target Price Playground
ZM
$79.91
๐ข
ZM IV: 41.3% โ LOW
(-34.6% vs 30d avg of 63.0%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $70 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bearish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $80 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $7.45 ยท ฮ -0.51
SHORT PUT ยท $74 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.09 ยท ฮ -0.29
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bear Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If ZM hits $70 by Jun 19: the bear put spread returns +$164 (37.7%) on $436 risked, vs $-991 (-12.4%) for 100 shares on $7,991. Options give 3.0ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if ZM is at $70. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if ZM hits $70 by Jun 19
+$164
+37.7% on $436 risked
Max Profit
+$164
If the stock โค $74 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$436
Net debit
Break-even
$75.64
-5.34% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
51%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-21.93 / -0.53 / 1.73
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| ZM Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $64 (-20%) | +$68 | +$95 | +$134 | +$164 |
| $68 (-15%) | +$16 | +$41 | +$86 | +$164 |
| $70 (-12%) โ target | -$14 | +$6 | +$47 | +$164 |
| $72 (-10%) | -$44 | -$29 | +$4 | +$164 |
| $76 (-5%) | -$109 | -$107 | -$100 | -$27 |
| $78 (-2%) | -$148 | -$154 | -$166 | -$267 |
| $80 (0%) โ spot | -$173 | -$184 | -$208 | -$427 |
| $82 (+2%) | -$197 | -$213 | -$246 | -$436 |
| $84 (+5%) | -$231 | -$254 | -$297 | -$436 |
| $88 (+10%) | -$282 | -$310 | -$360 | -$436 |
| $92 (+15%) | -$323 | -$354 | -$399 | -$436 |
| $96 (+20%) | -$355 | -$384 | -$419 | -$436 |
Uses ZM's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.