Target Price Playground
ZM
$79.91
๐ข
ZM IV: 41.3% โ LOW
(-34.6% vs 30d avg of 63.0%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $89 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $80 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $5.69 ยท ฮ 0.49
SHORT CALL ยท $86 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.9 ยท ฮ 0.4
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If ZM hits $89 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$421 (235.6%) on $179 risked, vs +$909 (11.4%) for 100 shares on $7,991. Options give 20.7ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if ZM is at $89. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if ZM hits $89 by Jun 19
+$421
+235.6% on $179 risked
Max Profit
+$421
If the stock โฅ $86 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$179
Net debit
Break-even
$81.79
+2.35% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
55%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
9.36 / -0.22 / 0.28
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| ZM Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $64 (-20%) | -$133 | -$153 | -$173 | -$179 |
| $68 (-15%) | -$99 | -$123 | -$158 | -$179 |
| $72 (-10%) | -$53 | -$78 | -$121 | -$179 |
| $76 (-5%) | +$1 | -$17 | -$55 | -$179 |
| $78 (-2%) | +$36 | +$24 | -$3 | -$179 |
| $80 (0%) โ spot | +$60 | +$53 | +$35 | -$179 |
| $82 (+2%) | +$84 | +$82 | +$76 | -$28 |
| $84 (+5%) | +$120 | +$126 | +$137 | +$212 |
| $88 (+10%) | +$178 | +$196 | +$231 | +$421 |
| $89 (+11%) โ target | +$193 | +$213 | +$253 | +$421 |
| $92 (+15%) | +$229 | +$256 | +$305 | +$421 |
| $96 (+20%) | +$274 | +$305 | +$356 | +$421 |
Uses ZM's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.