Target Price Playground
ZM
$79.91
๐ข
ZM IV: 41.3% โ LOW
(-34.6% vs 30d avg of 63.0%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $84 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Sell OTM put for premium; get assigned if price drops.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
SHORT PUT ยท $74 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.09 ยท ฮ -0.29
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Cash-Secured Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If ZM hits $84 by Jun 19: the cash-secured put returns +$309 (4.4%) on $-309 credit (max loss $7,091), vs +$409 (5.1%) for 100 shares on $7,991. Options give 0.9ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if ZM is at $84. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if ZM hits $84 by Jun 19
+$309
+4.4% on $7,091 max loss
Max Profit
+$309
If the stock โฅ $74 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$7,091
If stock โ $0 after assignment
Break-even
$70.91
-11.27% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
79%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
29.32 / 3.56 / -11.78
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| ZM Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $64 (-20%) | -$813 | -$762 | -$712 | -$698 |
| $68 (-15%) | -$541 | -$469 | -$381 | -$299 |
| $72 (-10%) | -$316 | -$229 | -$115 | +$101 |
| $76 (-5%) | -$137 | -$46 | +$73 | +$309 |
| $78 (-2%) | -$50 | +$38 | +$152 | +$309 |
| $80 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | +$85 | +$191 | +$309 |
| $82 (+2%) | +$44 | +$125 | +$222 | +$309 |
| $84 (+5%) โ target | +$102 | +$176 | +$257 | +$309 |
| $88 (+10%) | +$171 | +$231 | +$287 | +$309 |
| $92 (+15%) | +$220 | +$266 | +$301 | +$309 |
| $96 (+20%) | +$253 | +$286 | +$306 | +$309 |
Uses ZM's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.